Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

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Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

In Greece, the round of 16 second legs of the national cup competition are on the program this week. The only exception is the duel between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens. The first leg of the two clubs should have taken place the previous week, but the association postponed the game by a week on the advice of the state security authorities.

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

The reason for this was the parallel cup game between Kalamata and Olympiacos Piraeus. As Kalamata is only 60 kilometers from Tripoli, the decision-makers feared a clash between the enemy fans from Piraeus and AEK. For the sake of “public order”, the match Asteras Tripolis against AEK Athens, in which the guests are preferred according to the odds, does not take place until Thursday.

It is not really surprising that the capital club has the advantages on its own side. The “Enosis” are currently in third place in the table of the Greek Super League, nine places ahead of the upcoming opponent from Tripoli, who as third last has little chance of reaching the playoffs of the top six teams.

In view of the fact that there will still be a second leg, we do not expect an open exchange of blows, but rather a tactical duel in which both teams want to maintain the chances of progressing. Because the guest coach has already announced that he wants to rotate something, we consider a risky tip on the favorites between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens to be poorly odds.

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

Asteras Tripolis – Statistics & current form

The 2014/2015 season will probably go down as one of the most successful in the history of the PAE Asteras Tripolis football club. Completely surprisingly, the Greeks prevailed against FSV Mainz in the qualification for the Europa League and reached the group phase.

Since then, the trend at the club, which has been in the top division in the country for 13 years, has been on the decline. Only in 2017/18 did the yellow-blue team cause another sensation as fifth in the Super League, but last year you had to be content with eleventh place in the final accounts.

Also in the current season there are many indications that the league will end deep in the lower half of the table. Asteras is currently in third-last place, even though you have a six-point advantage over the penultimate. Five wins have been matched by three draws and ten defeats.

However, the barely negative goal difference of 24:27 shows that the majority of the bankruptcies came about rather narrowly. In total, only two matches with more than one goal difference were lost; one against the undefeated leader Olympiakos Piraeus (0: 5).

The Tripoli group drove 14 of the 18 points in front of their home crowd. Here, the record with four wins, two draws and three bankruptcies is even slightly positive (17:13 goals). The fact that the team of coach Milan Rastavac, who has been in office since the beginning of December, is uncomfortable to play at home, is also shown by the recent two home games, which were both victorious against Crete (2-1) and Xanthi (5-0).

Due to the bottom line of the fairly decent home record and the fact that last year’s semi-finalist in the cup wants to create a good starting position for the second leg in front of their own fans, we would not venture a prediction of the away win between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens.

Instead, it is important to keep an eye on the “Both Teams to Score – No”, because in the past three years the yellow-blue team has not scored a goal in the second or second leg of the respective cup round that led to the elimination. With the exception of the injured Spanish midfielder Capilla, Rastavac has plenty to draw on.

Probable lineup of Asteras Tripolis:
➱ Papadopoulos – Martinez, Matricardi, Suarez, Kotsiras – Munato, Valiente – Sito, L. Fernandez, M. Fernandez – Barrales
➱ Coach: Rastavac

Last games from Asteras Tripolis:

⚽️ 01/12/2020 – Asteras Tripolis vs. OFI Crete 2: 0 (Super League)
⚽️ 01/04/2020 – Atromitos Athens vs. Asteras Tripolis 2-1 (Super League)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – Asteras Tripolis vs. Skoda Xanthi 5-0 (Super League)
⚽️ 18.12.2019 – AEK Athens vs. Asteras Tripolis 2-1 (Super League)
⚽️ 12/15/2019 – Asteras Tripolis vs. Olympiacos Piraeus 0: 5 (Super League)

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

AEK Athens – statistics & current form

AEK Athens dominated Greek football, particularly in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Four of the twelve championships are held in this period. The yellow-blacks celebrated the last title win in 2017/2018. The cup was last held in 2016.

The high level of expectations around the capital club was made clear by the change of coach in early December. Marinos Ouzounidis, who had to replace the master coach Jimenez, who was left for family reasons, resigned on his own initiative as the title defense had moved into an unreachable distance.

With Massimo Carrara, a new coach was installed, which had previously done good work for Spartak Moscow and as a technical trainer for the Italian national team. There have been five competitive games among the 55-year-old, of which AEK has won three. The first and only defeat hit the weekend in the pursuit duel at PAOK Saloniki.

As third in the table, the “Kitrinómavri”, as mentioned, have no chance of winning the championship. Since the lead in fourth place is five points and the runner-up has already rushed, it can be assumed that the capitals will rearrange their priorities and focus on the trophy.

However, because there is still a second leg in the round of 16, the Carrara team will not be forced to take full risk on Thursday. For the only fourth-best away team in Greece, who lost more games abroad (four) than won (three), the primary goal is to get a good result to make everything clear in the second leg at home.

Against the background of the average balance in opposing stadiums and the less than ideal personnel situation – the coach has to do without the suspended Livaja and Hult as well as the injured Galanopoulos, we at Asteras Tripolis against AEK Athens do without the tip in favor of third place in the Super League.

The bet is more interesting that not both teams will hit. The corresponding assessment would have gone through in five of the last seven matches with yellow-black participation.

Probable lineup of AEK Athens:
➱ Barkas – Lopes, Chyhrynski, Vranjes, Bakakis – Simoes, Krsticic, Botos – Mantalos, Verde, Oliveira
➱ Coach: Carrara

Last games from AEK Athens:

⚽️ 01/12/2020 – PAOK Saloniki vs. AEK Athens 1-0 (Super League)
⚽️ 05.01.2020 – AEK Athens vs. Panetolikos Agrinio 3: 1 (Super League)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – PAS Lamia vs. AEK Athens 0-0 (Super League)
⚽️ 18.12.2019 – AEK Athens vs. Asteras Tripolis 2-1 (Super League)
⚽️ 12/14/2019 – Skoda Xanthi vs. AEK Athens 0-1 (Super League)

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens Direct Comparison

So far there have been 22 matches between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens. A prediction of the capital city turned out to be correct in at least twelve cases. Seven wins went to Asteras, while only three clashes ended in a tie. In the current Super League season, AEK won 2-1 at home and 3-2 in Tripoli.

Asteras Tripolis vs. AEK Athens Soccer Betting Tips

On Thursday afternoon there will be a first knockout round in the Greek Cup between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens in the Peloponnese region. The bookmakers’ betting odds imply a favorite role of the guests, who are well placed in front of the home league in the home league and should normally have more individual quality.

Nevertheless, in the Asteras we see Tripoli vs. AEK Athens odds on the away win no value, as, as mentioned, a second leg will be on the program and the capital club can therefore rely on closing the bag at home. The yellow-blacks abroad will not necessarily take the last risk.

Key facts – Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens tips

♦️ If Asteras has failed in the last three years of the cup, it will always be without a goal in the return leg
♦️ In five of the last seven AEK matches, only one team scored one goal
♦️ In the league, the Athenians narrowly prevailed twice this season (3: 2, 2: 1)

The bottom line is that we expect a wait and see kick from both teams. No team wants to make the first mistake and thus worsen the starting position. Asteras recently presented themselves very uncomfortably at home, while the opponent, Coach Carrara’s team, has so far lost more games than won in strangers.

We therefore choose between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens for the tip that a maximum of one of the two teams will score a goal. In games involving the “Enosis”, a bet would have been made in five of the last seven cases.

Competition: Greece Cup
Date: Jan 16, 2020
Bet Tip: Both teams to score/ NO
Odds: 1.86
Stake: 7/10