By the 90th minute, in the quarter-final first leg in the UEFA Europa League between Villarreal and Valencia, everything looked set for an exciting return leg. At that time it was 1: 1 and the starting position before the second match in the East of Spain would have been completely balanced. But then, from the point of view of the âYellow Submarineâ, five minutes of horror followed. Daniel Wass was the first to score 2-1 in extra time before Goncalo Guedesâs second goal of the match saw them even make it 3-1 for Valencia. The team of coach Marcelino is therefore one and a half legs in the semifinals of the Europa League and has to manage on Thursday evening in the second leg only the lead to keep in the âDerbi de la Comunitatâ the upper hand.
Due to the fact that thanks to the lead, the hosts no longer have to take the initiative and the yellow-blue may focus more on the relegation battle in La Liga, it is difficult to put Valencia and Villarreal in the right place , In fact, it seems more likely that the âbatsâ will use their home strength profitably and want to bring their own fans another derby success. Furthermore, in the Europa League duel Valencia vs Villarreal interesting odds can be found for the tip that the current sixth of the highest Spanish league scores at least one goal in both halves.
After two consecutive seasons in which the fans in the countryâs third largest state did not get to see any European football, fans will get their moneyâs worth in the current season. Although Valencia missed in the Champions League group stage in third place just behind Juventus and Manchester United, but the âbatsâ are now all doors open in the Europa League. In 2004, Valencia last lifted the UEFA Cup and this time the title win seems absolutely possible. At least the semi-finals is the team of coach Marcelino, who had known a long, successful past at the derby opponents in Villarreal, barely take. The 3-1 away win in the first leg ensures that the âYellow Submarineâ has to meet at least three times in the Estadio Mestalla, in order to be able to calculate chances to progress. If you consider that Valencia have conceded only four goals in five international home games in 2018/2019 (two of them against Juventus) and also in La Liga with only ten goals in 17 encounters on the domestic green the second best defensive of Spain, it becomes clear why between Valencia and Villarreal the odds for the home sideâs progress do not exceed 1.02.
Home strength, however, is not only apparent from the low number of goals received, but also from the results. For example, at national level (league + cup) Valencia lost only one of 21 home matches this season (ten wins, ten draws). On the European stage, four successes have been achieved in five attempts. Only against the âold ladyâ from Torino, the former Champions League finalist had beaten 0-2. Even more impressive reads the Europa League record before its own fans. Since the 2013/2014 season, the âbatsâ are unbeaten in Europeâs second league. Recently, there were even seven wins in a row, in which the black and white have an equally impressive goal difference of 20: 3.
Because the starting position is quite comfortable before the return leg and the pressure is definitely on the shoulders of the guests, we think it is not unlikely that the Marcelino-Elf, as in the first leg, exploits the inevitable bidding rooms and one or two goals will come. In the meantime we do not believe in a diminished motivation or even a lack of concentration, because after all this is a derby against a domestic backdrop, in which the topics prestige and honor as well as the retention of momentum â the East Spaniards lost only one of the last 14 league games â are capitalized , Consequently, in the Valencia match against Villarreal, a tip in favor of the hosts, be it the win or at least one goal in both halves, is the most lucrative option. Because only Christiano Piccini and possibly Geoffrey Kondogbia are not available, coach Marcelino can draw on the full and muster his best formation, although it can not be ruled out that the coach in terms of stress control in view of the important away game at the weekend at Betis Sevilla to rotate something.
Expected formation of Valencia:
⪠Neto â Gaya, Paulista, Garay, Wass â Guedes, Coquelin, Parejo, Soler â Mina, Moreno
⪠Coach: Marcelino
Last matches of Valencia:
â˝ď¸ 14.04.2019 â Valencia vs Levante 3: 1 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 11.04.2019 â Villarreal vs. Valencia 1: 3 (Europa League)
â˝ď¸ 06.04.2019 â Rayo Vallecano Vs. Valencia 2: 0 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 03.04.2019 â Valencia vs. Real Madrid 2: 1 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 31.03.2019 â Sevilla vs Valencia 0: 1 (La Liga)
Until last Thursday, the UEFA Europa League for the Villarreal Club de FĂştbol was a welcome distraction to the dreary everyday business in La Liga. At the European level, the yellow-blue ones usually presented themselves from a completely different face and remained without defeat in all ten encounters so far. Among other things, the âyellow submarineâ defeated in the sixteenth finals Sporting Lisbon and in the second round Zenit St. Petersburg. Due to the bitter 1: 3 defeat in front of home crowd in the quarter-final first leg against the arch rival from Valencia, the dream of the first international title of the clubâs history seems to have ended prematurely. This is confirmed by the fact that Villarreal has so far never managed in six cases, a gap from a first leg, which took place in front of home backdrop, to catch up in the second leg.
Although the players were combative after the last-minute last-minute goals and announced they would try everything at the Estadio Mestalla to make the surprise, between Valencia and Villarreal should be considered for any betting tips that the probably more important match for the team of Coach Javier Calleja will definitely take place at the weekend in the Spanish League against Leganes.
âThis is not done and dusted: weâll go to Mestalla with optimism, try to score early and make them play. Itâs difficult but nobody should write us off. â â Gerard Moreno
Then it goes back to last yearâs fifth namely the whereabouts in the top division of the country. Currently the âyellow submarineâ is only two points ahead of the first relegation place on position 15. Since the super-Gau in the form of a descent must be necessarily prevented, we consider it not excluded that the greater concentration as well as the focus rather the league party will apply. Nevertheless Villarreal should risk at least in the initial phase much, in order to create clear facts early in one of the two directions. From this point of view, it would be an interesting alternative to check odds for an early goal between Valencia and Villarreal.
The tense staffing situation in the relegation candidate also does not support the fact that the yellow-blue ones can extend their strong away record of only one defeat in the past 13 European League encounters in the foreign. Bruno Soriano, Miguelon and Daniele Bonera are missing injured. Alvaro Gonzalez has to stand watch. Whether Javi Fuego, Jaume Costa and Manu Trigueros get fit in time or are rather spared, is still in the stars.
Expected formation of Villarreal:
⪠Fernandez â Quintilla, Mori, Ruiz, Gaspar â Cazorla, Caseres â Fornals, Iborra, Chukwueze â Moreno
⪠Coach: Calleja
Last matches of Villarreal:
â˝ď¸ 14.04.2019 â Girona vs. Villarreal 0: 1 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 11.04.2019 â Villarreal vs. Valencia 1: 3 (Europa League)
â˝ď¸ 07.04.2019 â Betis Sevilla vs. Villarreal 2: 1 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 02.04.2019 â Villarreal vs. FC Barcelona 4: 4 (La Liga)
â˝ď¸ 30.03.2019 â Celta Vigo Vs. Villarreal 3: 2 (La Liga)
Valencia leads the direct comparison with 20 victories. Villarreal made at least 17 matches victorious, while ten other competitive games ended in a draw. A week ago, as mentioned, there were two late goals that made the 3-1 win at the Estadio de la CerĂĄmica perfect for the âbatsâ. In the Spanish La Liga ended the first leg in Villarreal 0: 0. Valencia won 3-0 at home. Even then, the black and white in both halves get at least one hit. By the way, it was Valenciaâs only home win in the past five direct duels in Derbi de la Comunitat. A bad omen for Thursday?
After the first leg ended 3-1 for Valencia a week ago, the return match for the âbatsâ in front of a home crowd should really only be a matter of form. Villarreal would need at least three own goals at the Estadio Mestalla to be able to think about the semi-final move-in. So far, throughout the season with Juventus but only a single team managed to mark in Valencia ever only two hits. For that reason, we have no qualms about the hosts reaching the next round in the Derby de la Comunitat in the Europa League quarter-finals.
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âď¸ Valencia have won their last seven Europa League home games (20: 3 goals)
âď¸ Villarreal will focus more on the relegation battle in La Liga
âď¸ The first leg ended 3: 1 for Valencia
For the second leg, due to the very clear starting position and the difficult to answer question, with which focus both teams will tackle the game, a Valencia vs Villarreal prediction hard. The odds on the winner in the three-way segment are therefore left out in our considerations. Interestingly, the various Tor markets are shaping up. If it is assumed that the Yellow Submarine will put everything on one card in the early stages, an early counter goal of the home side seems anything but unlikely. Due to the fact that the guests are in the relegation battle in La Liga at the weekend before an important home game, we expect further hits of the motivated black and white in the further course of the game. Therefore, we decide between Valencia and Villarreal for the tip that the Marcelino-Elf scores at least one goal in both halves.
Betting Tips: Valencia scores in both halves
Odds: 2.75
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